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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 23

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +126.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to total 5.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Cooper Kupp has been one of the most reliable receivers in football, catching a terrific 70.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile among wide receivers.
  • This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has given up a colossal 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the biggest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • Cooper Kupp's 17.9% Target Share this year shows a noteworthy decline in his pass game usage over last year's 26.4% figure.

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