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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Seattle Seahawks

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+126/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +126.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) typically correlate with better passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.

With an impressive 5.3 adjusted catches per game (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Cooper Kupp stands among the top pass-catching WRs in the league.

The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Seahawks offensive approach to lean 7.5% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 56.3% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are projected by the projections to call only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.

While Cooper Kupp has earned 25.6% of his team's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Seattle's passing attack in this game at 18.0%.

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