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Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+155/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.

Cooper Kupp grades out as one of the best possession receivers in football, completing an outstanding 70.7% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.

The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the 4th-worst safety corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Cooper Kupp's 17.8% Target Rate this year shows a noteworthy decline in his pass game usage over last year's 26.4% rate.

More Cooper Kupp Player Props

Cooper Kupp ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 18