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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-205).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Rams defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 9th-most passes in football (36.0 per game) this year.
  • Cooper Kupp's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 68.5% to 81.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 3rd-least pass-centric offense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 57.6% pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most sluggish paced offense in the league (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Cooper Kupp has been much less involved in his team's passing game this season (17.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (26.4%).
  • Cooper Kupp's pass-catching performance diminished this season, compiling a measly 2.9 adjusted receptions compared to 5.5 last season.
  • The Rams linebackers grade out as the 6th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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