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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays called: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • The pass games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while run volume may suffer.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Cardinals defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • Cooper Kupp's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 68.5% to 80.1%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored this week, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.
  • The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 51.4 plays per game.
  • Cooper Kupp's 17.4% Target Rate this season shows a noteworthy drop-off in his pass game volume over last season's 26.4% mark.
  • Cooper Kupp's receiving performance has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 3.0 adjusted receptions compared to 5.5 last season.

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