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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-160/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Cooper Kupp to earn 6.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • Cooper Kupp has been an integral part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 24.2% last year, which puts him in the 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • With an impressive 5.5 adjusted receptions per game (89th percentile) last year, Cooper Kupp rates among the best pass-catching WRs in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the model projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 8th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.2 total plays called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • The Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league last year, averaging a measly 56.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the San Francisco 49ers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.9 per game) last year.

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