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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have 130.8 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) typically prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • In this week's game, Cooper Kupp is forecasted by the projection model to find himself in the 93rd percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.6 targets.
  • Cooper Kupp has been one of the top WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a fantastic 5.5 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 93rd percentile.
  • This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded a massive 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 8th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect Cooper Kupp to be a less important option in his team's passing attack in this week's game (25.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (32.7% in games he has played).
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks safeties grade out as the 7th-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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