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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to notch 8.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Cooper Kupp's play as a receiver has been refined this season, totaling 6.2 adjusted receptions compared to just 5.0 last season.
  • As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, New York's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
  • Cooper Kupp has been used less as a potential target this season (86.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (98.4%).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Jets pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.6%) vs. WRs this year (62.6%).

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