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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-102/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's spread suggests a throwing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect the Rams as the 6th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 63.2% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.
  • The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to total 10.4 targets in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Cooper Kupp's 7.3 adjusted receptions per game this season marks an impressive progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 5.0 rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Cooper Kupp's 87.7% Route Participation% this year signifies a material drop-off in his air attack volume over last year's 98.4% rate.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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