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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
  • This week, Cooper Kupp is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 9.4 targets.
  • Cooper Kupp's 8.3 adjusted receptions per game this season conveys a material progression in his receiving talent over last season's 5.0 mark.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) to WRs this year (70.3%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • While Cooper Kupp has been responsible for 33.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this week's contest at 27.5%.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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