Cooper Kupp Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme throwing game script for the Rams, who are huge -7.5-point underdogs.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 60.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
At the present time, the 10th-quickest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.1 per game) this year.
Our trusted projections expect Cooper Kupp to earn 9.1 targets this week, on balance, placing him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Favors Under

Cooper Kupp's 65.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 73.8.
Cooper Kupp's receiving performance has worsened this season, compiling a measly 4.1 adjusted receptions compared to 8.1 last season.
Cooper Kupp's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 76.4% to 57.7%.
This year, the daunting Baltimore Ravens defense has yielded a feeble 60.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been tremendous this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

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