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Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-135/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 30.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -135.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, enticing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.2 per game) this year.Cooper Kupp's possession skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate rising from 68.5% to 71.7%.Cooper Kupp's pass-game effectiveness has improved this season, notching 9.44 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 7.29 rate last season.This year, the weak Colts defense has given up a whopping 175.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers: the worst in the league.The Indianapolis Colts pass defense has displayed poor efficiency versus WRs this year, conceding 8.50 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 13-point advantage, the Seahawks are a massive favorite in this game, implying much more of an emphasis on running than their usual approach.Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the model to see only 126.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-lowest number among all games this week.The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.1 plays per game.Cooper Kupp's 16.9% Target% this year signifies a noteworthy decline in his pass attack volume over last year's 26.4% figure.
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