Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 58.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 57.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to see 133.4 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
The leading projections forecast Cooper Kupp to notch 8.7 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among wide receivers.
As it relates to air yards, Cooper Kupp ranks in the lofty 83rd percentile among wideouts this year, accruing an impressive 74.0 per game.
Cooper Kupp grades out as one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 65.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, New York's collection of DEs has been very bad this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in football.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Rams, who are favored by 3 points.
Cooper Kupp has been used less as a potential target this season (86.6% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (98.4%).
When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
Cooper Kupp's receiving effectiveness has worsened this year, averaging a measly 7.13 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.21 rate last year.
Cooper Kupp's 3.89 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a material drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last year's 5.2% mark.

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