Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Cooper Kupp

NFL · Player Props

Cooper Kupp

WR · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Cooper Kupp Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 67.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 66.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 67.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
This week, Cooper Kupp is anticipated by the predictive model to land in the 95th percentile among wide receivers with 9.4 targets.
Cooper Kupp has notched many more air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (72.0 per game).
Cooper Kupp's 83.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season indicates a meaningful gain in his receiving skills over last season's 63.0 figure.
The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) to WRs this year (70.3%).

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
While Cooper Kupp has been responsible for 33.1% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's passing attack in this week's contest at 27.5%.
The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Cooper Kupp's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating a mere 6.76 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.21 figure last season.

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