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Cooper Kupp

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Los Angeles Rams

Cooper Kupp Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+120/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 5th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Cooper Kupp has been a key part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 27.8% this year, which ranks in the 92nd percentile among wideouts.

Cooper Kupp has notched a whopping 92.0 air yards per game this year: 91st percentile among wide receivers.

Cooper Kupp's 82.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 71.9.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.1%) to WRs this year (62.1%).

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks profile as the 4th-best unit in the league this year in covering receivers.

The Los Angeles Rams have incorporated play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

The Los Angeles Rams have elected to go for it on 4th down a lowly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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