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Connor Heyward Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Connor Heyward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2700/-2800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +2900 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +2700.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Steelers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.9 pass attempts per game versus the Colts defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The Indianapolis Colts defense has allowed the 8th-most TDs through the air in the league to tight ends: 0.50 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Steelers have been the 10th-most run-oriented team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) this year with a 48.1% red zone run rate.

The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 50.0 plays per game.

While Connor Heyward has received 7.4% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a much smaller part of Pittsburgh's passing attack near the end zone in this week's game at 2.3%.

More Connor Heyward Player Props

Connor Heyward TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts

Connor Heyward Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9