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Connor Heyward

Connor Heyward Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Connor Heyward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2000/-2300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -1650 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Steelers to call the 9th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.25 per game through the air (79th percentile), Connor Heyward has been among the leading receiving TD-scorers in football when it comes to tight ends since the start of last season.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for the 2nd-most touchdowns through the air in football to tight ends: 0.83 per game this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused offense in the NFL near the goal line (46.3% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
  • The Steelers have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 49.6 plays per game.
  • The Pittsburgh O-line ranks as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 4th-most touchdowns in football (1.33 per game) against the Bengals defense this year.

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