Connor Heyward Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Connor Heyward

NFL · Player Props

Connor Heyward

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 6, 2025

Updated Oct 11, 2025 8:12 PM UTC

Analysis

Connor Heyward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1650).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1650.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns defense has given up the 6th-most touchdowns through the air in the league to TEs: 0.60 per game this year.
This year, the daunting Browns run defense has conceded a paltry 0.60 TDs on the ground per game to opposing teams: the 8th-best rate in football.
The Cleveland Browns defensive ends project as the best DE corps in football this year with their run defense.

Favors Under

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Steelers, who are favored by 6 points.
At the moment, the 8th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (46.2% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to have only 127.9 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.
The 2nd-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Steelers this year (only 48.8 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game versus the Browns defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

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