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Connor Heyward

Connor Heyward Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Connor Heyward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+540/-720).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +700 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +540.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to see 133.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Steelers ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
  • This year, the stout Texans run defense has allowed a measly 0.76 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing squads: the 8th-smallest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • Connor Heyward has accrued a puny 2.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 17th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
  • Connor Heyward places in just the 11th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive involvement) with a lackluster 2.1 mark this year.
  • This year, the formidable Houston Texans defense has conceded a measly 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the best rate in the league.

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