Connor Heyward Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

My Account Log Out

reorder

Connor Heyward

NFL · Player Props

Connor Heyward

TE · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 21, 2025 9:22 PM UTC

Analysis

Connor Heyward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -2000 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Steelers being a heavy -7.5-point underdog this week.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Steelers to pass on 65.3% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 133.9 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
The Steelers O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Pittsburgh Steelers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 51.3 plays per game.
When talking about air yards, Connor Heyward grades out in the paltry 22nd percentile among TEs this year, averaging just 3.0 per game.
Connor Heyward slots into just the 17th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a poor 2.5 figure this year.
This year, the daunting Detroit Lions defense has conceded a meager 67.4% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 2nd-best rate in the NFL.

More Connor Heyward Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow