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Connor Heyward

Connor Heyward Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Connor Heyward Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1700/-3300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -3300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears pass defense has yielded the 2nd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (86.3%) versus tight ends this year (86.3%).
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in run defense, Chicago's group of LBs has been excellent this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Steelers have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 50.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bears, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.6 per game) this year.
  • Connor Heyward's 3.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the worst in the league: 21st percentile for tight ends.

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