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Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Colston Loveland Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • The Bears offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bears as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Green Bay's collection of safeties has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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