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Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Colston Loveland Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.
  • The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).
  • The Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 22-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.
  • The New York Giants pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (71.3%) versus tight ends this year (71.3%).
  • This year, the fierce Giants defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing tight ends: a paltry 6.5 yards.

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