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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+465/-740).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -390 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -740.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • After totaling 21.0 air yards per game last season, Cole Kmet has made big progress this season, now sitting at 48.0 per game.
  • Cole Kmet's 30.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 21.0.
  • With a terrific rate of 0.20 per game through the air (75th percentile), Cole Kmet stands among the top receiving touchdown-scorers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast Cole Kmet to be a much smaller part of his offense's passing attack near the end zone in this contest (10.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (15.8% in games he has played).
  • Cole Kmet's 46.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last season's 85.6% figure.

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