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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+280/-395).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +280.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are forecasted by the model to run 67.9 total plays in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • When talking about air yards, Cole Kmet grades out in the towering 76th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging a striking 22.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • Cole Kmet's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 85.6% to 56.7%.
  • The Raiders linebackers rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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