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Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+600/-880).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +600 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

Cole Kmet has totaled a massive 27.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among TEs.

The Bears offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

At the moment, the 8th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (47.1% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Chicago Bears.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.6% to 66.6%.

The Green Bay defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19