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Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-560).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -530 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -560.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

At just 28.00 seconds per snap, the Bears offense has been the 6th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) this year.

Cole Kmet has compiled significantly more air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 48.1% red zone run rate.

Cole Kmet's 65.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 85.6% rate.

This year, the formidable 49ers defense has surrendered a measly 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, San Francisco's group of DTs has been atrocious this year, ranking as the 2nd-worst in the league. in the league.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17