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Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+790/-1050).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +780 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +790.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Bears being an enormous -7-point underdog in this week's contest.

The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.2 plays per game.

Cole Kmet has notched significantly more air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Bears to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 48.2% red zone run rate.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased run volume.

Cole Kmet's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.6% to 58.7%.

This year, the daunting Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a puny 63.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the lowest rate in football.

This year, the imposing Eagles defense has given up a puny 0.18 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing tight ends: the 3rd-smallest rate in the league.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13