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Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+560/-620).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +610 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +560.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At just 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: most in the league.

Cole Kmet has totaled many more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

This year, the anemic Pittsburgh Steelers defense has given up a staggering 0.60 TDs through the air per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Chicago Bears to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.7% red zone run rate.

Cole Kmet's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 85.6% to 57.3%.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12