Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+710/-950).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.

The model projects the Chicago Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cole Kmet has accrued far more air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-most run-heavy team in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 47.1% red zone run rate.

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.

While Cole Kmet has accounted for 12.1% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Chicago's pass game near the goal line in this game at 6.6%.

Cole Kmet's 49.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 85.6% mark.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11