|
|
Cole Kmet Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+660/-800).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -600 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -800.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
|
|
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 135.7 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.The 6th-most plays in football have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).The Giants defense has been something of pass funnel this year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (36.0 per game) this year.After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last season, Cole Kmet has gotten better this season, currently pacing 37.0 per game.As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
|
|
This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Our trusted projections expect the Bears to be the 6th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.4% red zone run rate.Windy weather conditions (like the 22-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 85.6% to 48.1%.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
