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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Washington Commanders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-118/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +112 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A throwing game script is indicated by the Bears being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 135.8 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Cole Kmet's 30.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 21.0.
  • This year, the deficient Washington Commanders pass defense has yielded a massive 85.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 2nd-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Washington's safety corps has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cole Kmet's 1.4 adjusted catches per game this year illustrates a substantial decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 3.4 figure.
  • Cole Kmet's 46.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this season illustrates an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last season's 85.6% figure.

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