My Account Log Out
 
 
Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Chicago Bears vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+118/-151).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to run the 4th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 59.0 plays per game.
  • With a high 77.9% Route Participation% (89th percentile) since the start of last season, Cole Kmet rates as one of the TEs with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • The Chicago Bears O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Cole Kmet rates as one of the leading pass-catching TEs since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 3.1 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 77th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 55.7% of their opportunities: the 11th-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the Cowboys, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 30.2 per game) since the start of last season.
  • Cole Kmet's 47.2% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a material diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last year's 85.6% figure.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™