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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-170).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -4-point disadvantage, the Bears are underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.3 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears this year (a colossal 57.3 per game on average).
  • The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (32.4 per game) this year.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears grades out as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cole Kmet has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (55.0% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (78.4%).
  • Cole Kmet's 1.7 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a substantial reduction in his receiving proficiency over last season's 3.4 rate.
  • Cole Kmet's 66.6% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a significant regression in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 85.6% rate.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (72.6%) versus TEs this year (72.6%).
  • The Rams safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in football this year in defending receivers.

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