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Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The Bears offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing game stats across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bears as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Cole Kmet has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (56.0% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (78.4%).

Cole Kmet's 1.7 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching skills over last year's 3.4 mark.

Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.6% to 66.6%.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 19