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Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +145 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call 68.8 offensive plays in this game: the most among all teams this week.

The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).

As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

Cole Kmet's 55.1% Route% this year conveys a remarkable diminishment in his passing game utilization over last year's 78.4% mark.

Cole Kmet's 1.6 adjusted catches per game this year conveys a material drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 3.4 figure.

Cole Kmet's 64.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies an impressive decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 85.6% figure.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 18