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Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bears to call the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The Bears have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.9 plays per game.

The Green Bay Packers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (36.1 per game) this year.

The Bears offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong influence on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 54.0% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being predicted in this game) typically correlate with lessened passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

Cole Kmet's 53.6% Route% this season shows a meaningful diminishment in his passing attack usage over last season's 78.4% rate.

Cole Kmet's receiving skills have worsened this year, notching a measly 1.6 adjusted catches vs 3.4 last year.

Cole Kmet's 64.6% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a noteworthy regression in his receiving skills over last season's 85.6% figure.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 16