My Account Log Out
 
 
Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 62.1 per game on average).
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.5 per game) this year.
  • Cole Kmet's 54.0% Route Participation Rate this season shows a substantial decline in his passing offense volume over last season's 78.4% mark.
  • Cole Kmet's receiving talent has declined this season, notching a mere 1.7 adjusted receptions vs 3.4 last season.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™