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This week's spread implies a rushing game script for the Bears, who are favored by 4.5 points.Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chicago Bears to pass on 51.4% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.Windy weather conditions (like the 22-mph being predicted in this game) typically cause decreased passing efficiency, lower air volume, and increased ground volume.Cole Kmet has run fewer routes this year (56.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (78.4%).Cole Kmet's 1.1 adjusted receptions per game this season shows a material regression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 3.4 rate.
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