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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Cole Kmet Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-144/+122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -144.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears last year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) last year.

With a remarkable 78.4% Route Participation% (89th percentile) last year, Cole Kmet has been among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the league last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to pass on 57.9% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Last year, the fierce Vikings defense has given up a feeble 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

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