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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+108/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Bears are forecasted by the model to run 67.9 total plays in this contest: the highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 9th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears since the start of last season (a staggering 58.6 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • Our trusted projections expect Cole Kmet to total 4.6 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 76th percentile among TEs.
  • The leading projections forecast Cole Kmet to be a more important option in his offense's air attack in this game (13.3% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.8% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 59.6% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 8th-least pass-focused team in football has been the Chicago Bears.
  • Cole Kmet has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (17.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
  • Cole Kmet's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 85.6% to 56.7%.

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