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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears have a new play-caller this season in head coach Ben Johnson, and the model projects their pass/run mix to lean 1.1% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Chicago Bears are predicted by the predictive model to call 68.8 offensive plays in this game: the most among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been run by the Bears this year (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).
  • After accruing 21.0 air yards per game last year, Cole Kmet has been rising this year, currently sitting at 28.0 per game.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bears are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bears to pass on 53.8% of their chances: the 8th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Cole Kmet's 55.1% Route% this year conveys a remarkable diminishment in his passing game utilization over last year's 78.4% mark.
  • Cole Kmet's 20.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this season marks a noteworthy diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last season's 35.0 rate.
  • Cole Kmet's 64.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season signifies an impressive decrease in his receiving talent over last season's 85.6% figure.

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