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Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

At just 28.00 seconds per snap, the Bears offense has been the 6th-quickest paced in the league (in a neutral context) this year.

Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.

The 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) this year.

Cole Kmet has compiled significantly more air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bears rank as the 7th-least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 57.7% pass rate.

Cole Kmet's 55.3% Route Participation Rate this year signifies a substantial reduction in his passing attack utilization over last year's 78.4% mark.

Cole Kmet has notched a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (20.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).

Cole Kmet's 65.0% Adjusted Completion% this year marks a meaningful diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 85.6% rate.

Cole Kmet's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year marks an impressive drop-off in his effectiveness in space over last year's 3.9% rate.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 17

San Francisco 49ers vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17