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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Chicago Bears vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-117/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see 137.6 total plays run: the highest number among all games this week.
  • The largest volume of plays in football have been called by the Bears this year (a whopping 62.1 per game on average).
  • After totaling 21.0 air yards per game last season, Cole Kmet has shown good development this season, currently pacing 31.0 per game.
  • The Chicago Bears offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears are a big 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Bears as the 4th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 50.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Cleveland Browns, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.5 per game) this year.
  • Cole Kmet's 54.0% Route Participation Rate this season shows a substantial decline in his passing offense volume over last season's 78.4% mark.
  • Cole Kmet has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (21.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).

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