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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bears are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The Bears offense has played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 27.84 seconds per snap.
  • After accumulating 21.0 air yards per game last season, Cole Kmet has shown good development this season, now sitting at 28.0 per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Cole Kmet's 53.5% Route% this year shows a noteworthy drop-off in his pass game workload over last year's 78.4% mark.
  • Cole Kmet has put up many fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (19.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).
  • Cole Kmet's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 85.6% to 62.9%.
  • Cole Kmet's pass-game efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 7.21 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.92 figure last season.
  • Cole Kmet's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a material regression in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 3.9% mark.

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