My Account Log Out
 
 
Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme passing game script is implied by the Bears being an enormous -7-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chicago Bears have run the 6th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.2 plays per game.
  • Cole Kmet has notched significantly more air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Bears grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bears rank as the 10th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 58.8% pass rate.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being projected in this game) generally mean decreased passing efficiency, reduced pass volume, and increased run volume.
  • Cole Kmet's 54.3% Route Participation% this year conveys a noteable decline in his passing attack volume over last year's 78.4% rate.
  • Cole Kmet's 17.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a meaningful decrease in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 35.0 mark.
  • Cole Kmet's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 85.6% to 58.7%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™