reorder

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-117/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At just 28.07 seconds per play, the Chicago Bears offense ranks as the 8th-fastest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.

Opposing offenses have averaged 40.5 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: most in the league.

Cole Kmet has totaled many more air yards this year (32.0 per game) than he did last year (21.0 per game).

The Chicago offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack stats across the board.

The Steelers defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (70.0) vs. TEs this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Chicago Bears to be the 7th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Cole Kmet has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (55.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.4%).

Cole Kmet has compiled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (35.0).

Cole Kmet's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 85.6% to 57.3%.

Cole Kmet's 6.8 adjusted yards per target this year represents a meaningful decrease in his receiving ability over last year's 8.9 figure.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12