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Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread indicates a passing game script for the Bears, who are -3-point underdogs.

The model projects the Chicago Bears to call the 3rd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The Bears have called the 7th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Cole Kmet has accrued far more air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 4th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 28.9 per game) this year.

Cole Kmet has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (55.1% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (78.4%).

Cole Kmet has notched significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (16.0) this year than he did last year (35.0).

Cole Kmet's 49.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year reflects an impressive decrease in his receiving proficiency over last year's 85.6% mark.

Cole Kmet's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, notching a mere 6.61 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 8.92 figure last season.

More Cole Kmet Player Props

Cole Kmet Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11