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Cole Kmet

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs Minnesota Vikings

Cole Kmet Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Chicago Bears last year (a massive 58.9 per game on average).

The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel last year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (35.8 per game) last year.

With a remarkable 78.4% Route Participation% (89th percentile) last year, Cole Kmet has been among the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

As it relates to air yards, Cole Kmet grades out in the towering 75th percentile among tight ends last year, accruing an astounding 21.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Chicago Bears to pass on 57.9% of their plays: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Cole Kmet comes in as one of the weakest TEs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 3.85 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) last year while grading out in the 21st percentile.

Last year, the fierce Vikings defense has given up a feeble 73.7% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing TEs: the 9th-best rate in the NFL.

The Minnesota Vikings linebackers grade out as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league last year in covering pass-catchers.

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