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Cole Kmet
NFL · Player Props
Cole Kmet
TE · Chicago Bears
Receiving TD
Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Cole Kmet Receiving TD

Cole Kmet Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+268/-461).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +321 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +268.

Favors Over
  • The Bears are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Cole Kmet has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.7% this year, which puts him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
  • Cole Kmet's 40.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in football: 93rd percentile for TEs.
  • Cole Kmet's receiving reliability have improved this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.2% to 73.6%.
  • Cole Kmet ranks in the 94th percentile among TEs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a stellar 0.38 per game.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears offense as the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 29.42 seconds per play.
  • The weather report calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game versus the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: 9th-least in football.
  • Cole Kmet has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (44.0 per game).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has yielded the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (64.2%) versus TEs this year (64.2%).
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